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How to Predict an Election—Polling Aggregators Sam Wang and Drew Linzer

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By Robert Pollie | The 7th Avenue Project -

Fearless forecasters: Neuroscientist Sam Wang and Political Scientist Drew Linzer

Nate Silver isn’t the only forecaster to project the results of last Tuesday’s presidential election with preternatural accuracy. Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium and Drew Linzer of Votamatic both hit the bullseye, too, and they explained to me why it’s not really so preternatural after all (hint: statistics works). We talked about their methods, why so many pundits and political partisans missed the boat, and whether it’s bedtime for bloviators

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